I have a request for analysis of the US stock market, so I'll put it in a bit.
First of all, the US Federal Reserve is predicting an acceleration of tapering.
Everyone is holding their breath because the FOMC results are coming out on the 16th of this week.
Since the CPI and the price index are going up quite a bit, it is said that they want to taper around June -> March of next year.
However, interest rates are likely to rise slowly.
Also, US stocks were almost always among the top performers in the world.
In the end, in a situation where the inflow of funds is limited (actually, the net outflow, not the inflow, is currently the highest this year)
We have no choice but to enter the adjustment phase.
Nasdaq daily candle
It did not stop with a slight rise, but in December, a strong negative bar is emerging.
Although it has given a recent rebound, there is a strong tendency to hit the negative peak once again when it shows a negative peak like this
However, the recent rebound and US tech stocks are likely to drive the rise.
From the current price, I believe there is room for upside to about 5% around the end of the year and the beginning of the year, and after that, the adjustment phase seems to continue for a long time.
Rivian
After receiving a lot of attention from the initial public offering, it rose, and then had a downward trend as a lot of profit-taking volume came out.
Still, EV-related themes are showing a good side in the US market.
Tesla is in a downtrend and is holding out.
I've been talking about a rebound to some extent since last week, but it looks like it has risen a bit.
Still, there is a lot of volume around $115, so it's likely to drop out of there -> a final decision will be made around $118.
If the US stock market is corrected, the downside is more likely.
